With early voting set to start, both parties weigh the impact of the Kavanaugh confirmation process

Posted at 6:17 PM, Oct 08, 2018
and last updated 2018-10-08 18:17:15-04

The back and forth in Washington, D.C.over the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court fired up the bases of both Republicans and Democrats but which party will be able to turn anger into action come election day in four weeks.

"On the Democratic side I think there are a lot of people particularly women who are going to remember this and they're going to vote accordingly and largely they're going to remember it in negative terms," said News 5 Political Analyst Dr. Tom Sutton of Baldwin Wallace University.

"On the Republican side one of the core elements of Republican turnout is getting a president to appoint conservatives to the Supreme Court and the lower courts, mission accomplished and I think you're going to see turnout going up as a result to acknowledge that that happened."

That was evident in a NPR/PBS/Marist Poll last week that showed a 12 point jump in Republican enthusiasm towards the November election.

All of this will have an impact not just on the top of the ticket races but the down ballot matchups as well. Generating a vote for a senate or governor candidate buts a voter with a ballot in front of them that even if they're not familiar with the candidates in the other races if they do vote they're more likely to vote their party.

"Historically and certainly coming out of 2016 the uptick in Republican voters tends to be a lot more reliable to count on then a possible uptick in Democratic voters," Sutton said.