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Ohio presidential polls differ on who's leading as race remains close

Posted at 6:22 AM, Sep 15, 2016
and last updated 2016-09-15 06:22:28-04

If you're a supporter of Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton have we got an Ohio poll for you. In September of 2016 both can find comfort in recent polls released.

For Donald Trump a Bloomberg Politics poll released Wednesday showed the Republican nominee topping Hillary Clinton by five points, 48 percent to 43 percent.

The Clinton camp of course would counter with the earlier released YouGov/CBS poll that showed the Democrat actually enjoying a bigger Buckeye state lead of seven points 46 percent to 39 percent.

The reality is both polls are likely an accurate reflection of the opinions at this time of the voters they talk to it's just that those voters tended to lean or identify with Republicans in the Trump leading Bloomberg poll and with Democrats in the Clinton leading YouGov survey.

"There's a bit of a correlation between that and what we see in these results," said WEWS Political Analyst Tom Sutton of Baldwin Wallace University.

"But in this election does that then track with I'll vote with the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate," Sutton said of the bizarre nature of this year's race.

"I think the surprise factor right now is those people who are not answering polls and we really have them on both sides of the equation. On the Trump side when we talk about those blue collar workers, people from rural areas, people who are generally suspicious of any kind of polling to begin with, suspicious of the media, that's an uncaptured demographic largely when it comes to those polling results," Sutton said.

"On the Democratic side it's your African American vote, particularly when you get into blue collar even in some of the poorer areas particularly in the big cities that are critical for the Democrats to win in Ohio, critical to Obama's win and clearly going to be critical for Hillary Clinton."

"These are uncaptured demographics that we see across all polls not just these," he said. "Traditionally these are groups that are harder to reach unless you've given them some kind of incentive which typically these don't."