ABC News currently rates 15 states and two congressional districts as being in play on Election Day — as leaning Democratic or Republican or as toss-ups. These states have a total of 184 electoral votes, more than enough to swing the election to Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Thirty-five states, the District of Columbia and an additional congressional district are safe for either party.
Toss-up races are in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Maine’s 2nd Congressional District.
States leaning Democratic are Colorado, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Races leaning Republican are Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, Utah and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.
Toss-Ups
Arizona
- Trump 45, Clinton 40 | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Oct. 30 – Nov. 1
- Trump 49, Clinton 44 | CNN/ORC | Oct. 27 – Nov. 1
Florida
- Clinton 46, Trump 45 | Quinnipiac University | Nov. 3 – Nov. 6
- Clinton 49, Trump 47 | CNN/ORC | Oct. 27 – Nov. 1
- Clinton 46, Trump 45 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 27 – Nov. 1
Georgia
- Trump 45, Clinton 44 | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Oct. 30 – Nov. 1
- Trump 44, Clinton 44 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 20 – Oct. 26
- Trump 43, Clinton 39 | Atlanta Journal-Constitution | Oct. 17 – Oct. 20
New Hampshire
- Clinton 49, Trump 38 | WMUR/UNH | Nov. 3 – Nov. 6
- Clinton 44, Trump 44 | UMass Lowell/7 News | Oct. 28 – Nov. 2
- Clinton 46, Trump 39 | WMUR/UNH | Oct. 26 – Oct. 30
North Carolina
- Clinton 47, Trump 45 | Quinnipiac University | Nov. 3 – Nov. 6
- Clinton 47, Trump 44 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 27 – Nov. 1
- Clinton 47, Trump 41 | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Oct. 25 – Oct. 26
Maine 2nd Congressional District
- Clinton 43, Trump 40 | Portland Press Herald/UNH | Oct. 20 – Oct. 25
Leaning Democratic
Colorado
- Clinton 45, Trump 37 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 10 – Oct. 16
Nevada
- Trump 49, Clinton 43 | CNN/ORC | Oct. 27 – Nov. 1
- Clinton 43, Trump 43 | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Oct. 20 – Oct. 24
- Clinton 46, Trump 44 | CNN/ORC | Oct. 10 – Oct. 15
Pennsylvania
- Clinton 48, Trump 43 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 27 – Nov. 1
- Clinton 48, Trump 44 | CNN/ORC | Oct. 27 – Nov. 1
- Clinton 47, Trump 41 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 10 – Oct. 16
Virginia
- Clinton 45, Trump 38 | Roanoke College | Oct. 29 – Nov. 1
- Clinton 44, Trump 39 | Winthrop University | Oct. 23 – Oct. 30
- Clinton 50, Trump 38 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 20 – Oct. 26
Wisconsin
- Clinton 46, Trump 40 | Marquette Law School | Oct. 26 – Oct. 31
- Clinton 47, Trump 39 | WPR/St. Norbert | Oct. 13 – Oct. 16
Leaning Republican
Iowa
- Trump 46, Clinton 39 | Des Moines Register | Nov. 1 – Nov. 4
- Trump 44, Clinton 44 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 20 – Oct. 26
Ohio
- Trump 46, Clinton 41 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 27 – Nov. 1
- Trump 45, Clinton 45 | Quinnipiac University | Oct. 10 – Oct. 16
- Trump 48, Clinton 44 | CNN/ORC | Oct. 10 – Oct. 15
There is no recent polling that meets ABC News' standards in Michigan, Alaska, Utah or Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.
